Blanca Ayarzagüena


Current position: Lecturer at Universidad Complutense de Madrid.


Scientific Interests: large-scale dynamics, stratosphere-troposphere coupling, sea ice loss, climate variability and change


e-mail: bayarzag@ucm.es     Google Scholar


Education: Ph.D. in Atmospheric Physics, Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM).


Former affiliations

Researcher at Universidad Complutense de Madrid (Personal postdoctoral en formación en docencia e investigación en la UCM), 2017-2019

Postdoctoral Research Fellow. University of Exeter, UK, 2015-2017.

Postdoctoral Researcher. Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany, 2012-2015.

PhD Student. Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain, 2008-2012.

Peer-reviewed Publications


Ayarzagüena, B., Charlton-Perez, A. J. et al. (2020): Uncertainty in the response of sudden stratospheric warmings and stratosphere-troposphere coupling to quadrupled CO2 concentrations in CMIP6 models, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD032345, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032345

Kelleher M. E., Ayarzagüena, B., and Screen J. A. (2020): Inter-seasonal Connections Between the Timing of the Stratospheric Final Warming and Arctic Sea Ice , Journal of Climate, 33, 3079-3092, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0064.1.

Domeisen D.I.V, Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Ayarzagüena, B., et al. (2020): The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction. Part II: Predictability arising from stratosphere -troposphere coupling, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD030923.

Domeisen D.I.V, Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Ayarzagüena, B., et al. (2020): The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction. Part I: Predictability of the stratosphere, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD030920.


Ayarzagüena B., Palmeiro, F. M., Barriopedro, D., Calvo, N., Langematz, U. and Shibata, K. (2019): On the representation of major stratospheric warmings in reanalyses, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19, 9469-9484, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-9469-2019.

Thieblemont R., Ayarzagüena B., Matthes K., Bekki S., Abalichin J. and Langematz U. (2019): Drivers and surface signal of inter-annual variability of boreal stratospheric final warmings Journal of Geophysical Research, 124, 5400-5417, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029852.

Ayarzagüena B., L«Ñpez-Parages, J., Iza, M., Calvo, N. and Rodr«¿guez-Fonseca, B. (2019): Stratospheric role in interdecadal changes of El Ni«Ðo impacts over Europe Climate Dynamics, 52, 1173-1186, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4186-3 PDF.


Ayarzagüena B., Barriopedro D., Garrido-Perez J.M., Abalos M., de la Cámara A., García-Herrera R., Calvo N., Ordóñez C. (2018): Stratospheric Connection to the Abrupt End of the 2016/2017 Iberian Drought, Geophysical Research Letters, 45(22), 12,639-12,646.

Ayarzagüena B., Ineson, S., Dunstone, N. J., Baldwin, M. P. and Scaife A. A. (2018): Intrasesonal effects of El Ni«Ðo Southern Oscillation on North Atlantic Climate Journal of Climate, 31, 8861-8873, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0097.1

Ayarzagüena B., et al (2018): No Robust evidence of future changes in major stratospheric sudden warmings: A Multi-model assessment from CCMI Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18, 11277-11287, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-11277-2018 PDF.


Díaz-Durán A., Serrano E., Ayarzagüena B., Abalos M., and de la Cámara A. (2017): Intra-seasonal variability of extreme boreal stratospheric polar vortex events and their precursors. Climate Dynamics, 49, 3473–3491, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3524-1.


Rodriguez-Fonseca, B., Suarez-Moreno, R., Ayarzagüena B., Lopez-Parages, J., Gomara,I., Villamayor, J., Mohino, E., Losada, R. and Castaño-Tierno A. (2016): A Review of ENSO Influence on the North Atlantic. A Non-Stationary Signal. Atmosphere, 7, 87, doi:10.3390/atmos7070087. PDF.

Ayarzagüena B., and J. A. Screen (2016): Future Arctic sea ice loss reduces severity of cold air outbreaks in midlatitudes.Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2801–2809, doi: 10.1002/2016GL068092. PDF.


Lopez-Bustins, J.A., Serrano E., Ayarzagüena B. , and Sanchez-Lorenzo, A. (2015): Spatial and temporal temperature trends in the lower stratosphere during the extended boreal winter from reanalyses. International Journal of Climatology, 35, 3888-3901, doi: 10.1002/joc.4253.

Ayarzagüena B., Orsolini, Y.J., Langematz, U., Abalichin J. and Kubin A. (2015): The Relevance of the Location of Blocking Highs for Stratospheric Variability in a Changing Climate. Journal of Climate, 28, 531–549, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00210.1. PDF.


Ayarzagüena B., Langematz, U., Meul, S., Oberländer, S., Abalichin, J., and Kubin A. (2013): The role of climate change and ozone recovery for the future timing of major stratospheric warmings. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 2460–2465, doi:10.1002/grl.50477. PDF.


Ayarzagüena B., Langematz, U., and Serrano E. (2011): Tropospheric forcing of the stratosphere: A comparative study of the two different major stratospheric warmings in 2009 and 2010. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D18114, doi: 10.1029/2010JD015023. PDF.


Ayarzagüena, B., and Serrano E. (2009): Monthly Characterization of the Tropospheric Circulation over the Euro-Atlantic Area in Relation with the Timing of Stratospheric Final Warmings. Journal of Climate, 22, 6313-6324, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2913.1. PDF.


Book Chapters and other publications

Langematz, U., Ayarzagüena B. , Birner, T., Budde, M., Garny, H., Gerber, E., Godin-Beekmann, S., Hitchcock, P., Hubert, D., Lossow, S., Meul, S., Oberländer, S., Riese, M., and Stenke, A. (2016): Stratospheric change and its role for climate prediction (SHARP2016),. SPARC newsletter, 47, 20-23, ISSN: 1225-4680.

Rodríguez-Fonseca B., Rodríguez-Puebla C. (Ayarzagüena, B. , contributing autor) (2010): Climate teleconnections affecting Iberian Peninsula climate variability. Predictability and expected changes. [in The Spanish CLIVAR Report - Climate in Spain: Past, Present and Future. CLIVAR and MICINN (F. F. Pérez, R. Boscolo Eds.)], ISBN: 978-84-614-8115-6, pp. 53-67

de la Cámara, A., J. García-Serrano, B. Ayarzagüena, M. Abalos, B. González, and E. Serrano (2009): ENSO influence on the variability modes of the boreal winter stratosphere. Física de la Tierra, 21, 167-178. Universidad Complutense de Madrid.